Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1000.451893 1126.744472 1264.577592 1426.454406 1611.717762 1817.534893 2064.071950
2025-12-28 825.671002 1001.709423 1210.333342 1477.069520 1810.837739 2217.008026 2752.252020
2026-01-04 717.810535 915.257040 1162.600050 1497.746742 1943.898924 2522.811166 3339.673161
2026-01-11 638.423019 847.041795 1120.294126 1508.434230 2052.082644 2796.123851 3908.178039
2026-01-18 576.736697 791.492838 1083.696741 1515.978159 2148.823695 3056.438545 4484.096971
2026-01-25 536.274347 758.700625 1071.937334 1552.829531 2286.033042 3384.201603 5196.280363
2026-02-01 498.678304 724.952091 1053.593922 1575.312461 2400.724459 3687.188262 5906.174797
2026-02-08 463.860206 691.142074 1030.635652 1586.340424 2495.975371 3967.025462 6611.878787
2026-02-15 435.106647 663.320069 1013.244269 1602.733035 2599.224963 4268.356238 7391.216247
2026-02-22 412.977940 643.433495 1005.717720 1633.082367 2727.019268 4622.919730 8310.929459
2026-03-01 379.539548 602.428862 960.383148 1595.136446 2732.092611 4761.949504 8847.848621
2026-03-08 347.449164 560.922778 910.517276 1544.111163 2707.488264 4842.574133 9279.803668
2026-03-15 317.406018 521.066233 861.095501 1490.849129 2676.159020 4912.518161 9712.641708
2026-03-22 307.654820 514.934669 868.853042 1541.098656 2843.636968 5382.636502 11045.190061
2026-03-29 294.195430 501.151740 861.811224 1562.894970 2958.089263 5761.097552 12240.009662
2026-04-05 280.346639 485.508111 849.971309 1574.096305 3052.140996 6108.428133 13419.733155
2026-04-12 267.229899 470.121678 837.218020 1582.006750 3139.795998 6452.126117 14645.866108
2026-04-19 259.204727 463.426392 839.968841 1620.650574 3295.473077 6962.022416 16357.420977
2026-04-26 249.836664 453.467829 835.616722 1644.229503 3421.068093 7420.220763 18019.396094
2026-05-03 239.723555 441.321657 826.002096 1655.795721 3521.151616 7831.983031 19633.381459
2026-05-10 230.958014 431.134927 819.400224 1672.989222 3635.600626 8292.157238 21460.735050
2026-05-17 224.313168 424.625414 819.609531 1704.823817 3787.333848 8863.003100 23704.114934
2026-05-24 210.887181 403.644453 788.723437 1665.021370 3764.586562 8993.253826 24698.792376